TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AHL: Toronto Marlies vs. Syracuse Crunch
Volume:
$2,202
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single AHL (American Hockey League) game between the Toronto Marlies and Syracuse Crunch scheduled for April 12, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT. Markets on both Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the outcome of this professional hockey match.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic is fundamentally broken and resolves to YES for every possible outcome (both teams winning), making the market logically unresolvable. Polymarket correctly resolves to a single winner or a 50-50 split in case of cancellation.Hero Tip:
Avoid betting on Kalshi's market. The rule 'If Syracuse Crunch wins...then resolves to Yes' AND 'If Toronto Marlies wins...then resolves to Yes' means the market will resolve YES regardless of the game outcome, rendering it worthless. Polymarket's market is the only resolvable option in this group.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Outlier (correct logic): Resolves to the winning team name (Toronto Marlies or Syracuse Crunch), with a 50-50 split only if the game is canceled with no make-up. Key quote: 'If Toronto Marlies win, the market will resolve to Toronto Marlies. If Syracuse Crunch win, the market will resolve to Syracuse Crunch.'
- Kalshi: Outlier (logically contradictory): Resolves to YES if either Syracuse Crunch wins OR Toronto Marlies wins, creating a logical impossibility where both mutually exclusive outcomes trigger YES. Key quote: 'If Syracuse Crunch wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Toronto Marlies wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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