TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AHL: Toronto Marlies vs. Rochester Americans
Volume:
$5,104
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single professional AHL (American Hockey League) matchup between the Toronto Marlies and Rochester Americans scheduled for March 27, 2026 at 7:05 PM EDT. Both Kalshi and Polymarket are pricing binary outcomes on the winner of this game, with consistent resolution logic across platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Kalshi and Polymarket resolve on the same binary outcome: either Toronto Marlies wins or Rochester Americans wins, determined by final score including overtime and shootouts, with consistent handling of postponement and cancellation scenarios.
Primary resolution logic:
Official AHL schedule and final game result (theahl.com/stats/schedule)Core resolution logic:
- Market resolves to the team that wins the game on March 27, 2026 at 7:05 PM EDT
- Final score includes all overtime periods and shootout results (shootout win counts as one additional goal for resolution purposes on Polymarket)
- If game is postponed, market remains open until the rescheduled game is completed
- If game is canceled entirely with no makeup game, Polymarket resolves 50-50; Kalshi binary structure defaults to no resolution until clarification
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Postponement: If the game is postponed, both markets remain open and unresolved until the rescheduled game is played and completed.
- Cancellation without makeup: Polymarket explicitly resolves 50-50 if the game is canceled with no makeup game. Kalshi's binary structure would require platform discretion in this scenario.
- Shootout resolution: Polymarket adds one goal to the winning team's score for resolution purposes if the game goes to a shootout. Kalshi treats shootout as part of final game outcome.
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the final score is confirmed on March 27, 2026 (or rescheduled date if postponed). Markets settle within 24 hours of game completion.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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