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406,019

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5

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AHL: Toronto Marlies vs. Manitoba Moose
kalshi
polymarket

AHL: Toronto Marlies vs. Manitoba Moose

Volume:
$64

Manitoba Moose

 - Kalshi

Manitoba Moose - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 17, 2026

Closed: Mar 8, 6:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Manitoba Moose

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$28
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Toronto Marlies

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$36
N/A
N/A
$36
Settled
No
polymarket

AHL: Toronto Marlies vs. Manitoba Moose

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers a single professional AHL (American Hockey League) game between the Toronto Marlies and Manitoba Moose scheduled for March 8, 2026 at 3:00 PM EDT. The markets track the outcome of this game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootout results.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Manitoba Moose win OR Toronto Marlies win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable. Polymarket correctly specifies mutually exclusive outcomes.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi until the platform corrects the resolution logic. The contract as written is logically invalid - a binary market cannot resolve to Yes for both possible outcomes. Polymarket's structure is sound and should be preferred.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Both outcomes trigger Yes resolution. Quote: 'If Manitoba Moose wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Toronto Marlies wins...resolves to Yes'. This is a logical contradiction in binary market design.
  • Polymarket: Mutually exclusive outcomes with clear edge case handling. Quote: 'If Toronto Marlies win, the market will resolve to Toronto Marlies. If Manitoba Moose win, the market will resolve to Manitoba Moose.' Postponement keeps market open; cancellation resolves 50-50.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.