TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AHL: Toronto Marlies vs. Manitoba Moose
Volume:
$64
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single professional AHL (American Hockey League) game between the Toronto Marlies and Manitoba Moose scheduled for March 8, 2026 at 3:00 PM EDT. The markets track the outcome of this game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootout results.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Manitoba Moose win OR Toronto Marlies win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable. Polymarket correctly specifies mutually exclusive outcomes.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi until the platform corrects the resolution logic. The contract as written is logically invalid - a binary market cannot resolve to Yes for both possible outcomes. Polymarket's structure is sound and should be preferred.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Both outcomes trigger Yes resolution. Quote: 'If Manitoba Moose wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Toronto Marlies wins...resolves to Yes'. This is a logical contradiction in binary market design.
- Polymarket: Mutually exclusive outcomes with clear edge case handling. Quote: 'If Toronto Marlies win, the market will resolve to Toronto Marlies. If Manitoba Moose win, the market will resolve to Manitoba Moose.' Postponement keeps market open; cancellation resolves 50-50.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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