TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AHL: Toronto Marlies vs. Laval Rocket
Description
In the upcoming AHL game, scheduled for April 29 at 7:00PM ET: If Toronto Marlies win, the market will resolve to "Toronto Marlies". If Laval Rocket win, the market will resolve to "Laval Rocket". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution rules contain a logical contradiction: both a Toronto Marlies win and a Laval Rocket win are mapped to Yes, making the market unresolvable. Polymarket provides no rules, preventing cross-platform validation.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading until Kalshi publishes corrected rules. Request clarification on whether Yes should represent Marlies win or Rocket win, and confirm Polymarket's resolution logic independently.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Logical contradiction detected. Rules state: 'If Toronto Marlies wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If Laval Rocket wins... resolves to Yes.' Since only one team can win per game, both outcomes cannot resolve to Yes. This is a data integrity failure that makes the market unresolvable as written.
- Polymarket: No detailed rules available. Unable to determine resolution logic, settlement source, or edge-case handling. Cannot assess consistency with Kalshi or validate market resolvability.
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