TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AHL: Toronto Marlies vs. Laval Rocket
Volume:
$6,199
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single AHL (American Hockey League) regular season game between the Toronto Marlies and Laval Rocket scheduled for February 25, 2026 at 7:00 PM EST. Both Polymarket and Kalshi have created prediction markets on the outcome of this game, with resolution tied to the final score including overtime and shootouts.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market contains a logical contradiction: both a Toronto Marlies win and a Laval Rocket win are stated to resolve to Yes, which is impossible in a binary game outcome. Polymarket correctly structures this as a binary winner-take-all market.Hero Tip:
This is a critical flaw in Kalshi's market design. Do not trade on Kalshi. Use Polymarket exclusively for this event, which has coherent binary resolution logic (Toronto Marlies resolves to one outcome, Laval Rocket to the other).Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all structure. Toronto Marlies win resolves to 'Toronto Marlies', Laval Rocket win resolves to 'Laval Rocket'. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Final score includes overtime and shootouts (shootout adds one goal to winner).
- Kalshi: Contradictory resolution logic. States 'If Toronto Marlies wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If Laval Rocket wins... resolves to Yes'. Both mutually exclusive outcomes cannot both resolve to Yes in a single game, creating an unresolvable logical contradiction.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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