TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AHL: Toronto Marlies vs. Cleveland Monsters
Volume:
$3,998
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single AHL (American Hockey League) matchup between the Toronto Marlies and Cleveland Monsters scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 7:00 PM EST. Markets on both Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the outcome of this professional hockey game.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Cleveland Monsters win OR Toronto Marlies win) are mapped to Yes resolution, leaving no valid path to No. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable as written.Hero Tip:
Polymarket is tradeable with clear binary logic. Kalshi's market is broken and should not be traded until the platform corrects the resolution logic. Request clarification: one team's win should resolve to No, not Yes.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all structure. Resolves to the name of the winning team. Postponements keep market open; cancellations with no makeup resolve 50-50. Shootout goals are counted as one goal added to winner's score. Key Quote: If Toronto Marlies win, resolves to Toronto Marlies. If Cleveland Monsters win, resolves to Cleveland Monsters.
- Kalshi: Yes/No structure with logical error. Both win conditions map to Yes: If Cleveland Monsters wins resolves to Yes AND If Toronto Marlies wins resolves to Yes. No resolution path to No exists. This is a data integrity failure.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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