TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AHL: Texas Stars vs. Bakersfield Condors
Volume:
$7,326
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single professional AHL (American Hockey League) game between the Texas Stars and Bakersfield Condors scheduled for March 28, 2026 at 10:00 PM EDT. Both Kalshi and Polymarket are offering prediction markets on the outcome of this game, with different resolution structures.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's binary resolution logic is internally contradictory—both possible game outcomes (Bakersfield win and Texas Stars win) are specified to resolve to Yes, making the market logically unresolvable. Polymarket uses standard categorical resolution (winner name as outcome).Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi until this market structure is clarified with the platform. The Kalshi market as described cannot function because there is no No outcome. Polymarket's market is resolvable and should be treated as the authoritative source for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Binary Yes/Yes structure with both outcomes resolving to Yes. Quote: 'If Bakersfield Condors wins...resolves to Yes. If Texas Stars wins...resolves to Yes.' This is a logical contradiction that makes the market unresolvable as written.
- Polymarket: Categorical resolution with outcome = winner name. Quote: 'If Texas Stars win, resolve to Texas Stars. If Bakersfield Condors win, resolve to Bakersfield Condors.' Includes postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split) provisions. Includes shootout rule (one goal added to winner's score).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.