TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AHL: Syracuse Crunch vs. Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins
Volume:
$3,097
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single AHL (American Hockey League) matchup between the Syracuse Crunch and Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 6:05 PM EST. Markets on both Kalshi and Polymarket are predicting the winner of this regular-season game.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Syracuse win and Wilkes-Barre/Scranton win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and unable to differentiate between outcomes.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's version of this market due to the critical logical flaw. Polymarket's binary outcome structure (team name resolution) is the only viable option. Contact Kalshi support to clarify whether this is a template error or intentional design.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Tautological resolution logic: both Syracuse win and Wilkes-Barre/Scranton win resolve to Yes. Quote: 'If Syracuse Crunch wins... resolves to Yes. If Wilkes Barre-Scranton Penguins wins... resolves to Yes.' This makes the market unable to distinguish between outcomes.
- Polymarket: Clear binary outcome mapping: Syracuse win resolves to 'Syracuse Crunch', Wilkes-Barre/Scranton win resolves to 'Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins'. Includes explicit handling for postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split). Quote: 'If Syracuse Crunch win, the market will resolve to Syracuse Crunch. If Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins win, the market will resolve to Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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