TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AHL: Syracuse Crunch vs. Cleveland Monsters
Description
In the upcoming AHL game, scheduled for April 26 at 4:00PM ET: If Syracuse Crunch win, the market will resolve to "Syracuse Crunch". If Cleveland Monsters win, the market will resolve to "Cleveland Monsters". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Syracuse win and Cleveland win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable as written. Polymarket uses standard binary winner-take-all logic.Hero Tip:
This is a data integrity failure on Kalshi's side. The market definition is internally contradictory and cannot be settled fairly as currently written. Request clarification from Kalshi before trading. Polymarket's logic is sound and resolvable.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all structure. Syracuse win resolves to Syracuse Crunch, Cleveland win resolves to Cleveland Monsters. Postponements keep market open; full cancellations resolve 50-50. Shootout goals are counted as one goal added to winner's score. Source: theahl.com official schedule.
- Kalshi: Logically contradictory definition stating both Syracuse win AND Cleveland win resolve to Yes. This creates an impossible resolution condition where a single game outcome cannot satisfy both stated conditions simultaneously.
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