TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AHL: Springfield Thunderbirds vs. Iowa Wild
Volume:
$2,399
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single professional AHL (American Hockey League) game between the Springfield Thunderbirds and Iowa Wild scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 7:00 PM EST. Both Kalshi and Polymarket are offering prediction markets on the outcome of this game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootouts.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic is fundamentally broken: both possible game outcomes (either team winning) resolve to Yes, making the market non-functional as a prediction instrument. Polymarket provides proper binary team outcome resolution.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's version of this market without clarification from Kalshi support. The market as written guarantees Yes resolution unless the game is postponed/canceled, which is not a valid prediction market. Use Polymarket for actual team outcome prediction. If Kalshi intends to predict game occurrence only, the market description should be rewritten to reflect that scope.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Both Iowa Wild win and Springfield Thunderbirds win resolve to Yes. Quote: 'If Iowa Wild wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Springfield Thunderbirds wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical contradiction where the market cannot differentiate between outcomes.
- Polymarket: Resolves to team name: Springfield Thunderbirds or Iowa Wild based on winner. Quote: 'If Springfield Thunderbirds win, the market will resolve to Springfield Thunderbirds. If Iowa Wild win, the market will resolve to Iowa Wild.' Includes explicit edge case handling for postponement and cancellation (50-50).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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