TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AHL: Springfield Thunderbirds vs. Charlotte Checkers
Volume:
$4,441
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This market resolves based on the outcome of the AHL (American Hockey League) regular season game between the Springfield Thunderbirds and Charlotte Checkers scheduled for April 22, 2026 at 7:00 PM EDT. The market will settle to Yes if either team wins the game, creating a logical inconsistency in the Kalshi rules that requires clarification.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi provides explicit resolution rules (both teams winning resolve to YES), while Polymarket offers no detailed rules. This creates a logical contradiction: Kalshi's rules are internally incoherent (both outcomes cannot both resolve YES in a binary market), and Polymarket's absence of rules makes settlement unresolvable.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading this market on both platforms until rules are clarified. On Kalshi, the stated logic is contradictory—if both Springfield winning AND Charlotte winning both resolve to YES, there is no NO outcome, making the market fundamentally broken. On Polymarket, lack of published rules creates settlement risk with no recourse.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Market states that if Springfield Thunderbirds wins, market resolves YES, AND if Charlotte Checkers wins, market also resolves YES. This creates a logical impossibility in a binary market where exactly one team must win. Quote: 'If Springfield Thunderbirds wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Charlotte Checkers wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: No detailed resolution rules are available. Without explicit settlement criteria, it is impossible to determine how the market will resolve or what outcome triggers YES vs NO.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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