TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AHL: San Jose Barracuda vs. Tucson Roadrunners
Volume:
$933
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single AHL (American Hockey League) matchup between the San Jose Barracuda and Tucson Roadrunners scheduled for March 14, 2026. Markets on both Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the outcome of this game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootout rules.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction: both mutually exclusive outcomes (San Jose win and Tucson win) are stated to resolve to Yes, which is impossible in a binary Yes/No market structure. This indicates either a documentation error or a fundamental market design flaw that makes the market unresolvable as written.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's version of this market based on the provided description. Contact Kalshi directly to clarify whether this is a documentation error, whether the market is actually a moneyline (Yes = any game result, No = cancellation), or whether the terms have been corrected. Polymarket's binary winner-selection structure is logically coherent and should be your reference framework.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Clean binary structure: market resolves to the name of the winning team. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Shootout adds one goal to winner's score for resolution purposes. Source: theahl.com official schedule.
- Kalshi: Logically contradictory: states both 'If San Jose wins, resolves Yes' and 'If Tucson wins, resolves Yes.' In a binary Yes/No market, both outcomes cannot map to the same resolution value. No handling of postponement or cancellation scenarios is documented.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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