This market resolves based on the outcome of the AHL regular season game between the San Diego Gulls and Ontario Reign scheduled for April 17, 2026 at 10:00 PM EDT. The winner is determined by the final score including overtime and shootout periods, with one goal added to the winning team's total if a shootout occurs.
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: it resolves YES for both possible outcomes (San Diego Gulls win OR Ontario Reign win), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating a guaranteed arbitrage opportunity.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market. The resolution logic states YES for either team winning, which violates binary market logic. On Polymarket, you have a proper binary: San Diego Gulls vs Ontario Reign. Exploit this by betting the Polymarket side with confidence while avoiding Kalshi entirely.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Binary outcome market: resolves to San Diego Gulls if they win, Ontario Reign if they win. Includes postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split) clauses. Resolution based on final score including overtime and shootouts.
Kalshi: Logical contradiction: states 'If San Diego Gulls wins...then resolves to Yes' AND 'If Ontario Reign wins...then resolves to Yes.' Both outcomes map to YES, leaving no NO resolution path. This violates binary market structure.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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