TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AHL: Rockford IceHogs vs. Texas Stars
Description
In the upcoming AHL game, scheduled for April 17 at 8:00PM ET: If Rockford IceHogs win, the market will resolve to "Rockford IceHogs". If Texas Stars win, the market will resolve to "Texas Stars". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both outcomes (Texas Stars wins AND Rockford IceHogs wins) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket has coherent binary logic.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market. The resolution criteria are contradictory—both teams winning cannot simultaneously resolve to Yes. Polymarket offers the only logically sound market for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all logic: Rockford IceHogs win resolves to 'Rockford IceHogs', Texas Stars win resolves to 'Texas Stars'. Includes edge cases for postponement (market remains open) and cancellation without makeup (50-50 split). Shootout treated as one goal added to winner's score.
- Kalshi: Contradictory resolution logic: states 'If Texas Stars wins...then resolves to Yes' AND 'If Rockford IceHogs wins...then resolves to Yes'. Both mutually exclusive outcomes cannot both resolve to Yes in a binary market.
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