TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AHL: Rochester Americans vs. Toronto Marlies
Volume:
$2,468
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single AHL (American Hockey League) game between the Rochester Americans and Toronto Marlies scheduled for March 14, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT. Both Polymarket and Kalshi have created markets to predict the outcome of this matchup, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootout results.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Rochester win and Toronto win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable as a binary prediction instrument.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's version of this market. The resolution logic is broken and cannot distinguish between the two teams winning. Polymarket's market is the only viable option, with clear binary outcomes and proper edge-case handling.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary outcome market with mutually exclusive resolutions. Resolves to team name of winner (Rochester Americans or Toronto Marlies). Handles postponements by keeping market open and cancellations by resolving 50-50. Final score includes overtime and shootout adjustments (one goal added to shootout winner).
- Kalshi: Logically contradictory structure. States both Rochester Americans win and Toronto Marlies win resolve to Yes, creating an impossible scenario where the market cannot distinguish between outcomes. No edge-case handling specified for postponements or cancellations.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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