This event group covers a single AHL (American Hockey League) matchup between the Rochester Americans and Syracuse Crunch scheduled for March 1, 2026 at 4:00 PM EST. Both Polymarket and Kalshi have created markets around the outcome of this game, with resolution tied to the final score including overtime and shootout results.
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Rochester win and Syracuse win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable as written. Polymarket's logic is clear and internally consistent.
Hero Tip:
Avoid trading on Kalshi until the platform clarifies whether one outcome resolves No. The Polymarket version is the only resolvable market in this group as currently documented. Request official clarification from Kalshi before committing capital.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Binary outcome market: resolves to either team name based on final score (including overtime/shootout with one goal added to shootout winner). Postponements keep market open; full cancellations resolve 50-50. Source: theahl.com schedule. Logic is internally consistent and resolvable.
Kalshi: Stated resolution: 'If Rochester Americans wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If Syracuse Crunch wins... resolves to Yes'. This creates a logical impossibility where both mutually exclusive outcomes map to the same resolution state, rendering the market unresolvable as written.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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