This event group covers a single AHL (American Hockey League) matchup between the Rochester Americans and Cleveland Monsters scheduled for February 25, 2026 at 7:00 PM EST. Both Polymarket and Kalshi have created markets to predict the outcome of this professional hockey game.
Kalshi's resolution criteria contain a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Rochester win and Cleveland win) are stated to resolve to Yes, which is impossible in a binary Yes/No market structure. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable as published.
Hero Tip:
Avoid trading Kalshi until the platform issues a clarification. The market as written cannot function. Polymarket's bilateral outcome structure (Rochester Americans vs Cleveland Monsters) is logically sound and should be your reference for settlement expectations.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Bilateral outcome market: resolves to either "Rochester Americans" or "Cleveland Monsters" based on final score including overtime and shootouts. Postponements keep market open; cancellations resolve 50-50. Source: theahl.com/stats/schedule.
Kalshi: Binary Yes/No market with contradictory logic: states both "If Rochester Americans wins...resolves to Yes" AND "If Cleveland Monsters wins...resolves to Yes". This violates basic binary market logic and creates an unresolvable condition.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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