TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AHL: Rapids Griffins vs. Milwaukee Admirals
Volume:
$4,785
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This market resolves based on the outcome of an AHL (American Hockey League) regular season game between the Colorado Rapids Griffins and Milwaukee Admirals scheduled for April 17, 2026. The winner is determined by the final score including overtime and shootout periods, with the market resolving to the winning team's name.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both outcomes (Grand Rapids Griffins win OR Milwaukee Admirals win) are specified to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating a guaranteed arbitrage or total loss scenario.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market. The resolution logic is broken—it resolves Yes regardless of which team wins, which violates basic binary market structure. Polymarket is the only tradeable venue here with coherent logic.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all structure: Rapids Griffins win resolves to Rapids Griffins, Milwaukee Admirals win resolves to Milwaukee Admirals. Includes postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split) clauses. Final score includes overtime and shootout adjustments.
- Kalshi: Logical contradiction in resolution rules: states 'If Grand Rapids Griffins wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Milwaukee Admirals wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' Both outcomes map to the same resolution (Yes), leaving no path to No resolution and violating binary market semantics.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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