TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AHL: Rapids Griffins vs. Cleveland
Description
In the upcoming AHL game, scheduled for April 19 at 3:00PM ET: If Rapids Griffins win, the market will resolve to "Rapids Griffins". If Cleveland win, the market will resolve to "Cleveland". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both outcomes (Grand Rapids Griffins win OR Cleveland Monsters win) are specified to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket has coherent binary logic (one winner resolves to that team's name), but Kalshi's structure violates basic market design.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market. The resolution logic is broken—it claims both possible outcomes resolve to Yes, which is impossible. Stick to Polymarket for this event, which has clear binary resolution (Rapids Griffins vs. Cleveland with proper tie/cancellation rules).Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary market with coherent resolution: market resolves to 'Rapids Griffins' if they win, or 'Cleveland' if they win. Includes proper edge cases for postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split). Shootout goals are counted toward final score.
- Kalshi: Logical contradiction in resolution rules. Market states: 'If Grand Rapids Griffins wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Cleveland Monsters wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' Both mutually exclusive outcomes map to the same resolution (Yes), leaving no path to a No resolution. This violates fundamental market logic.
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