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AHL: Rapids Griffins vs. Cleveland
kalshi
polymarket

AHL: Rapids Griffins vs. Cleveland

Volume:
$5,711

Cleveland Monsters

 - Kalshi

Cleveland Monsters - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 20, 2026

Closed: Apr 19, 6:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Cleveland Monsters

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,108
N/A
N/A
$1,454
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Grand Rapids Griffins

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,056
N/A
N/A
$2,476
Settled
No
polymarket

AHL: Rapids Griffins vs. Cleveland

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$547
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Description

In the upcoming AHL game, scheduled for April 19 at 3:00PM ET: If Rapids Griffins win, the market will resolve to "Rapids Griffins". If Cleveland win, the market will resolve to "Cleveland". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both outcomes (Grand Rapids Griffins win OR Cleveland Monsters win) are specified to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket has coherent binary logic (one winner resolves to that team's name), but Kalshi's structure violates basic market design.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi market. The resolution logic is broken—it claims both possible outcomes resolve to Yes, which is impossible. Stick to Polymarket for this event, which has clear binary resolution (Rapids Griffins vs. Cleveland with proper tie/cancellation rules).

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary market with coherent resolution: market resolves to 'Rapids Griffins' if they win, or 'Cleveland' if they win. Includes proper edge cases for postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split). Shootout goals are counted toward final score.
  • Kalshi: Logical contradiction in resolution rules. Market states: 'If Grand Rapids Griffins wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Cleveland Monsters wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' Both mutually exclusive outcomes map to the same resolution (Yes), leaving no path to a No resolution. This violates fundamental market logic.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.