TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AHL: Providence Bruins vs. Hartford Wolf Pack
Volume:
$1,542
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single AHL (American Hockey League) matchup between the Providence Bruins and Hartford Wolf Pack scheduled for March 4, 2026 at 7:00 PM EST. Both Polymarket and Kalshi have created markets around the outcome of this game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootouts.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Hartford win and Providence win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating irreconcilable settlement ambiguity.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's version of this market. The resolution criteria violates basic binary logic — both outcomes cannot resolve to Yes. Polymarket's approach (resolving to team name) is the only coherent framework. Contact Kalshi support to clarify whether this is a drafting error or if a No outcome exists for one team.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary outcome market resolving to winning team name (Providence Bruins or Hartford Wolf Pack). Handles postponement by keeping market open; handles cancellation with no makeup by splitting 50-50. Includes shootout rule: one goal added to winner's score for resolution purposes. Key quote: 'The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts.'
- Kalshi: Logically contradictory Yes/No structure. Both Hartford Wolf Pack win AND Providence Bruins win are stated to resolve to Yes, leaving no distinct outcome for a No resolution. Key quote: 'If Hartford Wolf Pack wins... resolves to Yes. If Providence Bruins wins... resolves to Yes.' This creates an unresolvable state.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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