This event group covers a single professional AHL (American Hockey League) game between the Milwaukee Admirals and Chicago Wolves scheduled for March 29, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT. The markets track the winner of this matchup, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootouts.
Kalshi's binary resolution logic is contradictory: both possible game outcomes (Admirals win or Wolves win) resolve to Yes, making the market logically unresolvable. Polymarket uses categorical resolution (team names) with explicit edge-case handling. The platforms cannot be reconciled.
Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market is unresolvable as written and should not be traded. Polymarket is the only functional market. If you hold Kalshi positions, seek clarification from the platform before settlement. On Polymarket, be aware that a full cancellation with no makeup game results in a 50-50 split payout, not a cancellation refund.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Binary collapse: both Chicago Wolves win and Milwaukee Admirals win resolve to Yes. This creates a logical impossibility where the market cannot distinguish between the two mutually exclusive outcomes. No edge-case handling provided.
Polymarket: Categorical resolution: resolves to team name (Milwaukee Admirals or Chicago Wolves) based on winner. Includes explicit rules: postponement keeps market open until completion; full cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Resolution includes overtime and shootouts.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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