TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AHL: Manitoba Moose vs. Milwaukee Admirals
Volume:
$572
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single professional AHL (American Hockey League) game between the Manitoba Moose and Milwaukee Admirals scheduled for March 1, 2026 at 4:00 PM EST. Markets on both Kalshi and Polymarket are betting on the outcome of this game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootouts.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic is internally contradictory: both possible outcomes (Manitoba Moose wins OR Milwaukee Admirals wins) resolve to Yes, leaving no No outcome. This makes the market logically unresolvable as a binary contract.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market until the contradiction is clarified. Use Polymarket as the authoritative source. Kalshi likely intended a single-team Yes/No structure but drafted both outcomes as Yes.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Dual-YES resolution: Both Manitoba Moose victory and Milwaukee Admirals victory resolve to Yes. No explicit No condition. Quote: If Manitoba Moose wins = Yes; If Milwaukee Admirals wins = Yes.
- Polymarket: Mutually exclusive team outcomes: Manitoba Moose win resolves to Manitoba Moose; Milwaukee Admirals win resolves to Milwaukee Admirals. Includes postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split) clauses. Quote: Resolves to team name based on final score including overtime and shootouts.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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