TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AHL: Manitoba Moose vs. Calgary Wranglers
Volume:
$4,098
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single AHL (American Hockey League) matchup between the Manitoba Moose and Calgary Wranglers scheduled for March 13, 2026 at 9:00 PM EDT. Markets on both Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the outcome of this professional hockey game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootouts.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic is internally contradictory, stating that both a Calgary Wranglers win and a Manitoba Moose win resolve to Yes, making the market logically unresolvable. Polymarket provides a coherent binary outcome structure.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market is broken and should not be traded until corrected. Use Polymarket as the authoritative settlement reference. The Kalshi error appears to be a platform copy-paste mistake where both outcomes were assigned the same resolution value.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Clean binary outcome structure: Manitoba Moose win resolves to 'Manitoba Moose', Calgary Wranglers win resolves to 'Calgary Wranglers'. Postponements keep market open; cancellations resolve 50-50. Resolution includes overtime and shootouts (shootout winner gets +1 goal added to score).
- Kalshi: Contradictory logic: states 'If Calgary Wranglers wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Manitoba Moose wins...resolves to Yes'. Both outcomes cannot resolve to the same value, making settlement impossible.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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