TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AHL: Manitoba Moose vs. Belleville Senators
Volume:
$1,766
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single AHL (American Hockey League) matchup between the Manitoba Moose and Belleville Senators scheduled for March 28, 2026. Both Polymarket and Kalshi have created prediction markets on the outcome of this game, with resolution tied to the final score including overtime and shootouts.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a critical contradiction: it resolves to Yes if EITHER team wins, making it impossible for the market to resolve to No. This fundamentally breaks the market's binary structure. Polymarket correctly resolves based on which team wins the game.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's version of this market. The resolution rules are logically broken — the market will resolve Yes regardless of outcome, making it unsuitable for prediction. Trade only on Polymarket, which has sound binary logic: Manitoba Moose win resolves to Manitoba Moose, Belleville Senators win resolves to Belleville Senators.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Outlier (correct logic): Resolves based on final game outcome with clear binary outcomes. If Manitoba Moose win, market resolves to 'Manitoba Moose'. If Belleville Senators win, market resolves to 'Belleville Senators'. Includes proper edge cases for postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split). Key quote: 'If Manitoba Moose win, the market will resolve to Manitoba Moose. If Belleville Senators win, the market will resolve to Belleville Senators.'
- Kalshi: Outlier (broken logic): Contains a critical logical contradiction. The resolution rules state the market resolves to Yes if Belleville Senators wins AND also resolves to Yes if Manitoba Moose wins. This means the market resolves Yes in all possible game outcomes, eliminating the binary structure entirely. Key quote: 'If Belleville Senators wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Manitoba Moose wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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