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AHL: Manitoba Moose vs. Belleville Senators
polymarket
kalshi

AHL: Manitoba Moose vs. Belleville Senators

Volume:
$6,251

Belleville Senators

 - Kalshi

Belleville Senators - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 18, 2026

Closed: Mar 27, 10:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Belleville Senators

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,829
N/A
N/A
$1,522
Settled
Yes
polymarket

AHL: Manitoba Moose vs. Belleville Senators

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,126
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Manitoba Moose

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,296
N/A
N/A
$1,253
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers a single AHL (American Hockey League) matchup between the Manitoba Moose and Belleville Senators scheduled for March 27, 2026 at 7:00 PM EDT. Markets on both Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the outcome of this game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootouts.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction that makes the market fundamentally unresolvable. Kalshi resolves to Yes if either team wins, which means the market resolves Yes for all possible outcomes, violating basic binary market principles. Polymarket correctly structures the market as a binary choice between two mutually exclusive outcomes.Hero tip: Avoid trading on Kalshi's version of this market. The resolution rule stating 'If Belleville Senators wins...then resolves to Yes' AND 'If Manitoba Moose wins...then resolves to Yes' creates a logical impossibility where every outcome triggers a Yes resolution. Polymarket's market is the only tradeable version with coherent resolution logic.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Outlier (correct logic): Polymarket structures this as a true binary market where the market resolves to the name of the winning team, with explicit handling for postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split). Key quote: 'If Manitoba Moose win, the market will resolve to Manitoba Moose. If Belleville Senators win, the market will resolve to Belleville Senators.'
  • Kalshi: Outlier (logical contradiction): Kalshi's resolution rules state the market resolves Yes if either team wins, creating a tautology where all possible outcomes result in Yes. Key quote: 'If Belleville Senators wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Manitoba Moose wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.