TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AHL: Manitoba Moose vs. Abbotsford Canucks
Volume:
$340
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single AHL (American Hockey League) matchup between the Manitoba Moose and Abbotsford Canucks scheduled for March 11, 2026. Markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the outcome of this professional ice hockey game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootouts.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market contains a logical contradiction: both possible outcomes (Abbotsford wins OR Manitoba wins) resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable and eliminating all predictive differentiation.Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi's version entirely due to its broken resolution logic. Trade only on Polymarket, which correctly implements a binary winner-take-all structure. Kalshi's market will resolve Yes no matter what happens, so it offers no real prediction opportunity.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary winner-based resolution. Resolves to the name of the winning team (Manitoba Moose or Abbotsford Canucks) based on final score including overtime and shootout. Handles postponement by keeping market open; handles cancellation with no makeup by resolving 50-50.
- Kalshi: Both outcomes resolve to Yes. Market states: If Abbotsford wins, resolve Yes. If Manitoba wins, resolve Yes. This creates a logical impossibility where every possible game result produces the same resolution outcome.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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