This event group covers a single AHL (American Hockey League) regular season game between the Lehigh Valley Phantoms and Utica Comets scheduled for March 3, 2026 at 7:00 PM EST. Markets predict the winner of this matchup, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootout outcomes.
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Phantoms win and Comets win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the No outcome undefined and the market unresolvable. Polymarket provides clear binary resolution (winner name) with explicit edge case handling.
Hero Tip:
This is a critical data integrity failure on Kalshi. The market as described cannot function - both teams cannot win simultaneously and both cannot resolve to Yes. Before trading either platform, obtain clarification from Kalshi on whether: (1) this is a template error and No resolves on cancellation only, (2) the market should be binary (Phantoms Yes vs Comets Yes), or (3) the market should be withdrawn. Polymarket's logic is sound and tradeable as written.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Categorical resolution: market resolves to the name of the winning team (Lehigh Valley Phantoms or Utica Comets) based on final score including overtime and shootouts. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. This is a well-defined winner-take-all structure.
Kalshi: Binary Yes/No structure where both winning outcomes are stated to resolve to Yes: 'If Lehigh Valley Phantoms wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Utica Comets wins...resolves to Yes'. This creates a logical impossibility - the No outcome is undefined and unresolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.