TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AHL: Laval Rocket vs. Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins
Volume:
$5,562
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single AHL (American Hockey League) matchup between the Laval Rocket and Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins scheduled for March 28, 2026. Markets on both Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the outcome of this game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootouts.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic is fundamentally broken and unresolvable. Kalshi states that the market resolves to Yes if EITHER Laval Rocket wins OR Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins wins, meaning the market resolves Yes for every possible outcome. Polymarket correctly specifies that the market resolves to one team name (Laval Rocket or Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins) based on which team wins, with 50-50 resolution only if the game is canceled entirely.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's version of this market. The resolution criteria guarantee a Yes outcome regardless of the game result, making it logically incoherent and unresolvable as a binary prediction market. Polymarket's market is the only one with valid resolution logic.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Outlier (correct logic): Market resolves to the winning team's name (Laval Rocket or Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins) based on final score including overtime and shootouts. If canceled with no makeup, resolves 50-50. Source: theahl.com official schedule. Quote: 'If Laval Rocket win, the market will resolve to Laval Rocket. If Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins win, the market will resolve to Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins.'
- Kalshi: Outlier (logically incoherent): Market resolves to Yes if Laval Rocket wins AND also resolves to Yes if Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins wins, creating a tautology where every outcome triggers Yes. This violates binary market logic. Quote: 'If Laval Rocket wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Wilkes Barre-Scranton Penguins wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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