TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AHL: Laval Rocket vs. Toronto Marlies
Description
In the upcoming AHL game, scheduled for April 18 at 4:00PM ET: If Laval Rocket win, the market will resolve to "Laval Rocket". If Toronto Marlies win, the market will resolve to "Toronto Marlies". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: it resolves YES if either team wins, making it impossible to resolve NO. This creates a fundamentally unresolvable market that violates basic binary logic.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market. The resolution logic is broken—it resolves YES regardless of outcome. Polymarket is the only tradeable venue with coherent binary logic (Laval wins → YES, Toronto wins → NO).Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary outcome market with mutually exclusive resolution: resolves to 'Laval Rocket' if Laval wins, or 'Toronto Marlies' if Toronto wins. Exactly one outcome occurs. Includes edge cases for postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split). Shootout goals are counted as one goal added to winner's score.
- Kalshi: Logically contradictory market: states 'If Laval Rocket wins...then resolves to Yes' AND 'If Toronto Marlies wins...then resolves to Yes.' No NO resolution condition is defined. This means the market resolves YES regardless of which team wins, making it unresolvable as a binary contract.
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