TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AHL: Laval Rocket vs. Syracuse Crunch
Volume:
$192
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single AHL (American Hockey League) matchup between the Laval Rocket and Syracuse Crunch scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 7:00 PM EST. Both Polymarket and Kalshi have created prediction markets around the outcome of this game, with slightly different resolution mechanics.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution criteria contain a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Laval win or Syracuse win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), making the market unresolvable. Polymarket uses standard binary winner-takes-all logic.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading Kalshi until the contradiction is resolved. Polymarket's market is logically sound: back Laval for a Laval win, back Syracuse for a Syracuse win. Kalshi requires immediate clarification from the platform on whether one outcome should resolve to No instead of Yes.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Standard binary sports resolution. Laval Rocket win resolves to Laval Rocket; Syracuse Crunch win resolves to Syracuse Crunch. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Shootout adds one goal to winner's score for resolution purposes.
- Kalshi: Contradictory logic: both Laval Rocket win and Syracuse Crunch win are stated to resolve to Yes. This creates an impossible resolution state where the market cannot distinguish between outcomes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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