This event group covers a single professional AHL (American Hockey League) game between the Iowa Wild and Rockford IceHogs scheduled for April 4, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT. Markets on both Kalshi and Polymarket are predicting the outcome of this matchup, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootouts.
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Iowa Wild win and Rockford IceHogs win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), making it impossible to distinguish between them. Polymarket uses mutually exclusive outcomes and is resolvable.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's market as currently structured. The platform cannot settle this event without clarification. Polymarket's market is the only reliable venue for this event. Wait for Kalshi to issue a correction or restructure the market before engaging.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Market contains two separate Yes conditions that are mutually exclusive in reality but both resolve to Yes. This is a data integrity failure. Both Iowa Wild winning and Rockford IceHogs winning trigger Yes resolution, leaving no way to differentiate outcomes.
Polymarket: Clear mutually exclusive outcomes: Iowa Wild resolves to 'Iowa Wild', Rockford IceHogs resolves to 'Rockford IceHogs'. Postponements keep market open; cancellations resolve 50-50. Final score includes overtime and shootouts (one goal added for shootout winner). Source: theahl.com/stats/schedule.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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