TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AHL: Iowa Wild vs. Rockford IceHogs
Volume:
$5,179
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single AHL (American Hockey League) matchup between the Iowa Wild and Rockford IceHogs scheduled for March 28, 2026. Both Polymarket and Kalshi have created prediction markets around the outcome of this game, with resolution tied to the final score including overtime and shootouts.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Iowa Wild win and Rockford IceHogs win) are stated to resolve to Yes, which is impossible in a single-outcome sporting event. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable as written.Hero Tip:
Polymarket's market is logically sound and tradeable. Kalshi's market has a critical flaw that must be clarified before trading. Request explicit confirmation from Kalshi: is this a Yes/No market on whether Iowa Wild wins (making Rockford win = No), or is there a documentation error? Do not risk capital on Kalshi until the contradiction is resolved.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary outcome market with clear mutually-exclusive resolution paths. Iowa Wild victory resolves to Iowa Wild token, Rockford victory resolves to Rockford token. Handles postponement (market stays open) and cancellation without makeup (50-50 split). Resolution includes overtime and shootouts with one goal added to winner's score for shootout outcomes.
- Kalshi: Market structure contains logical impossibility. States both Iowa Wild win and Rockford IceHogs win resolve to Yes. Since only one team can win a single game, both conditions cannot simultaneously be true. This violates basic binary logic and makes resolution indeterminate.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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