TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AHL: Hershey Bears vs. Hartford Wolf Pack
Volume:
$6,887
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single AHL (American Hockey League) game between the Hershey Bears and Hartford Wolf Pack scheduled for April 4, 2026 at 6:00 PM EDT. Markets on both Polymarket and Kalshi are designed to resolve based on the final outcome of this game, including overtime and shootout results.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Hershey win and Hartford win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable as a binary prediction market. Polymarket uses standard winner-take-all binary logic.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading on Kalshi until the platform clarifies whether the market should resolve Yes only for one specific team, or if this is a Yes/No market on game occurrence rather than outcome. Polymarket's market is tradeable and logically sound.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all structure. Resolves to team name of winner. Handles postponements by keeping market open; cancellations resolve 50-50. Shootout goals counted as one additional goal for winning team. Quote: 'The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts.'
- Kalshi: Logically contradictory binary structure. States market resolves Yes if Hershey wins AND Yes if Hartford wins, creating an impossible resolution state. Quote: 'If Hershey Bears wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Hartford Wolf Pack wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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