TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AHL: Hartford Wolf Pack vs. Lehigh Valley Phantoms
Volume:
$130
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single AHL (American Hockey League) regular season game between the Hartford Wolf Pack and Lehigh Valley Phantoms scheduled for March 1, 2026 at 3:05 PM EST. Both Kalshi and Polymarket are offering prediction markets on the outcome of this game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootouts.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi uses a binary Yes/Yes structure (both team wins resolve to Yes) while Polymarket uses a categorical outcome structure (team name resolution). Polymarket explicitly addresses postponement and cancellation scenarios; Kalshi does not.Hero Tip:
The Kalshi market structure is unusual—both outcomes resolve to Yes, which implies the No outcome represents game non-completion or cancellation. Polymarket's explicit 50-50 cancellation clause provides clarity that Kalshi lacks. Before trading Kalshi, confirm what the No outcome represents and whether postponement/cancellation is covered.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Binary Yes/Yes structure: Hartford Wolf Pack win = Yes, Lehigh Valley Phantoms win = Yes. No edge case language for postponement or cancellation. Quote: 'If Hartford Wolf Pack wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Lehigh Valley Phantoms wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Categorical outcome structure: Hartford Wolf Pack win = 'Hartford Wolf Pack', Lehigh Valley Phantoms win = 'Lehigh Valley Phantoms'. Explicit postponement handling (market remains open) and cancellation handling (50-50 split). Quote: 'If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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