TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AHL: Grand Rapids Griffins vs. Cleveland Monsters
Volume:
$579
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single professional AHL (American Hockey League) matchup between the Grand Rapids Griffins and Cleveland Monsters scheduled for March 6, 2026 at 7:00 PM EST. Both Kalshi and Polymarket are offering prediction markets on the outcome of this game, with resolution tied to the final score including overtime and shootout results.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic maps both possible outcomes (either team winning) to Yes, rendering the market logically unresolvable and non-functional as a prediction instrument. Polymarket provides a categorical resolution (team name) with explicit edge-case handling for postponement and cancellation.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's version of this market—it is fundamentally broken. Both outcomes resolve identically to Yes, which violates basic prediction market design. Trade only on Polymarket, which correctly differentiates outcomes and addresses postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split).Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Both Grand Rapids Griffins win and Cleveland Monsters win resolve to Yes. No edge-case handling for postponement or cancellation. This creates a logical contradiction: a binary market where both outcomes are identical.
- Polymarket: Resolves to the winning team's name (Grand Rapids Griffins or Cleveland Monsters). Postponed games remain open until completion; canceled games with no makeup resolve 50-50. Includes shootout rule: one goal added to winning team's score for resolution purposes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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