This market resolves based on the outcome of an AHL (American Hockey League) regular season game between the Cleveland Monsters and Rochester Americans scheduled for April 17, 2026. The winner is determined by the final score including overtime and shootout periods, with one goal added to the winning team's total if a shootout occurs.
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: it resolves YES if either team wins, making all outcomes resolve YES. This renders the market fundamentally unresolvable and creates a critical data integrity failure.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market. The resolution logic is broken—both YES and NO outcomes cannot occur simultaneously. Polymarket is the only viable market for this event.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Binary outcome: resolves to 'Cleveland' if Cleveland wins, 'Rochester Americans' if Rochester Americans wins. Handles postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split). Includes shootout clarification (one goal added to winner's score). Clear, mutually exclusive resolution paths.
Kalshi: Logical contradiction: 'If Rochester Americans wins...then resolves to Yes' AND 'If Cleveland Monsters wins...then resolves to Yes.' Both possible game outcomes trigger YES resolution, leaving no path to NO. This violates binary market logic and makes the market unresolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.