TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AHL: Cleveland Monsters vs. Toronto Marlies
Volume:
$5,759
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single AHL (American Hockey League) matchup between the Cleveland Monsters and Toronto Marlies scheduled for March 4, 2026. Both Polymarket and Kalshi have created prediction markets on the outcome of this game, with slightly different resolution mechanics.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution statement contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Cleveland Monsters win and Toronto Marlies win) are stated to resolve to Yes, which is impossible in a binary Yes/No market structure.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's market until the platform clarifies whether the second outcome should resolve to No. Contact Kalshi support to confirm the intended resolution logic. Polymarket's binary structure is clear and resolvable.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary outcome market with clear winner-take-all logic. Resolves to the winning team's name. Handles postponements by keeping market open; handles cancellations with 50-50 split. Final score includes overtime and shootouts (with one goal added for shootout winners).
- Kalshi: Yes/No market structure, but resolution text states both Cleveland Monsters win and Toronto Marlies win both resolve to Yes, creating a logical impossibility. Likely intended as a binary choice but as written is unresolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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