TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AHL: Chicago Wolves vs. Toronto Marlies
Volume:
$474
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single AHL (American Hockey League) matchup between the Chicago Wolves and Toronto Marlies scheduled for March 1, 2026 at 4:00 PM EST. Markets on both Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the outcome of this game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootouts.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution criteria contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable as written. This represents a data integrity failure in the source specification.Hero Tip:
Treat Polymarket as the authoritative resolution framework. Request immediate clarification from Kalshi on whether this represents two separate markets or a drafting error. Do not place trades on Kalshi until the logical contradiction is resolved by the platform.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary outcome market with clear mutually exclusive resolution paths: Chicago Wolves win resolves to Chicago Wolves, Toronto Marlies win resolves to Toronto Marlies. Includes explicit edge case handling for postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split). Resolution includes overtime and shootouts with one goal added to winning team's score in shootout scenarios.
- Kalshi: Market structure states both Chicago Wolves victory and Toronto Marlies victory resolve to Yes, creating logical impossibility. Only one team can win a game, so both conditions cannot simultaneously occur. This appears to be either a drafting error or indicates two separate binary markets that were incorrectly merged in the source data.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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