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AHL: Chicago Wolves vs. Texas Stars
kalshi
polymarket

AHL: Chicago Wolves vs. Texas Stars

Volume:
$9,975

Texas Stars

 - Kalshi

Texas Stars - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 29, 2026

Closed: Apr 28, 10:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Texas Stars

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,282
N/A
N/A
$6,980
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Chicago Wolves

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,719
N/A
N/A
$1,615
Settled
No
polymarket

AHL: Chicago Wolves vs. Texas Stars

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$975
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Description

In the upcoming AHL game, scheduled for April 28 at 8:00PM ET: If Chicago Wolves win, the market will resolve to "Chicago Wolves". If Texas Stars win, the market will resolve to "Texas Stars". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Texas Stars win and Chicago Wolves win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market mathematically unresolvable. Polymarket uses a proper categorical resolution model with explicit edge-case handling.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi's version of this market until the logical error is corrected by the platform. The market cannot settle properly as written. Polymarket's market is resolvable and includes proper contingencies for postponement and cancellation.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Binary Yes/No structure with critical flaw: both Texas Stars win and Chicago Wolves win are stated to resolve to Yes. This creates an unresolvable market where the actual game outcome cannot determine a unique resolution state. Quote: 'If Texas Stars wins...resolves to Yes. If Chicago Wolves wins...resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Categorical resolution with three explicit outcomes: Chicago Wolves, Texas Stars, or 50-50 split (if canceled). Includes contingency for postponement (market remains open). Quote: 'If Chicago Wolves win, the market will resolve to Chicago Wolves. If Texas Stars win, the market will resolve to Texas Stars. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.