TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AHL: Chicago Wolves vs. Texas Stars
Volume:
$1,362
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of a single AHL (American Hockey League) regular season game between the Chicago Wolves and Texas Stars scheduled for March 17, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT. Markets on both Kalshi and Polymarket are betting on which team will win this matchup.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (either team winning) resolve to Yes, creating an unresolvable market structure. Polymarket uses proper categorical resolution with distinct outcomes for each team and explicit edge case handling.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's version of this market until the resolution logic is corrected. The market cannot resolve to No under any normal game outcome, indicating a fundamental data integrity failure. Use Polymarket as the authoritative source for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Market resolves Yes if Texas Stars wins AND also resolves Yes if Chicago Wolves wins. No resolution path exists for either outcome. Quote: 'If Texas Stars wins...resolves to Yes' and 'If Chicago Wolves wins...resolves to Yes.' This is a tautological structure that violates basic binary market logic.
- Polymarket: Market resolves to 'Chicago Wolves' if Chicago Wolves win, 'Texas Stars' if Texas Stars win. Postponed games keep market open; canceled games with no makeup resolve 50-50. Includes shootout scoring rule. Quote: 'If Chicago Wolves win, the market will resolve to Chicago Wolves. If Texas Stars win, the market will resolve to Texas Stars.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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