TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AHL: Chicago Wolves vs. Iowa Wild
Volume:
$7,836
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single AHL (American Hockey League) matchup between the Chicago Wolves and Iowa Wild scheduled for April 1, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT. Both Polymarket and Kalshi are offering prediction markets on the outcome of this game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootouts.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket resolves based on the final game outcome (Chicago Wolves win OR Iowa Wild win), while Kalshi's resolution logic is contradictory and unresolvable—it states the market resolves to Yes if EITHER team wins, making it impossible for the market to ever resolve to No.Hero Tip:
Avoid betting on Kalshi's market as written. The resolution criteria guarantee a Yes outcome regardless of which team wins, making the market logically broken. Polymarket's market is resolvable and clear: it settles on the actual game winner.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Outlier: Polymarket uses standard binary logic where the market resolves to the name of the winning team (Chicago Wolves or Iowa Wild), with explicit handling for postponements (market remains open) and cancellations (50-50 split). Key quote: 'If Chicago Wolves win, the market will resolve to Chicago Wolves. If Iowa Wild win, the market will resolve to Iowa Wild.'
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's resolution criteria state the market resolves to Yes if Chicago Wolves wins AND also resolves to Yes if Iowa Wild wins, creating a logical contradiction where both outcomes trigger Yes. This makes it impossible for the market to resolve to No. Key quote: 'If Chicago Wolves wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Iowa Wild wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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