TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AHL: Charlotte Checkers vs. Toronto Marlies
Volume:
$5,142
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single professional AHL (American Hockey League) game between the Charlotte Checkers and Toronto Marlies scheduled for April 3, 2026 at 7:00 PM EDT. Markets on both Kalshi and Polymarket are betting on the outcome of this game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootouts.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic is internally contradictory (both outcomes resolve to Yes), and the platforms diverge on edge case handling (postponement, cancellation). Kalshi's market as documented is logically unresolvable.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's version of this market until the contradiction is clarified with the platform. Polymarket's market is well-formed and explicitly handles postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split). Treat Polymarket as the reference standard for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Binary collapse: Both Charlotte Checkers win and Toronto Marlies win resolve to Yes. No explicit handling of postponement or cancellation. Quote: 'If Charlotte Checkers wins...resolves to Yes. If Toronto Marlies wins...resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Outcome-specific resolution: Charlotte Checkers win resolves to Charlotte Checkers; Toronto Marlies win resolves to Toronto Marlies. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation resolves 50-50. Quote: 'If Charlotte Checkers win, the market will resolve to Charlotte Checkers. If Toronto Marlies win, the market will resolve to Toronto Marlies.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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