This event group covers a single AHL (American Hockey League) regular season game between the Calgary Wranglers and San Diego Gulls scheduled for March 22, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT. Markets on both Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the outcome of this matchup, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootouts.
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Calgary win and San Diego win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), making the market unresolvable and creating a data integrity failure.
Hero Tip:
Polymarket's market is logically sound and tradeable. Kalshi's market is broken and should not be traded until corrected. The Kalshi description is missing the "No" resolution condition or contains a copy-paste error. Contact Kalshi support for clarification before placing any trades.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Clear binary structure with two distinct outcomes. Resolves to team name of winner. Handles edge cases: postponements keep market open until completion; cancellations without makeup resolve 50-50. Shootout goals counted as one goal added to winner's score. Key Quote: If Calgary Wranglers win, resolves to Calgary Wranglers. If San Diego Gulls win, resolves to San Diego Gulls.
Kalshi: Logically defective binary structure. Both win conditions resolve to Yes, creating impossibility. No explicit No condition provided. Key Quote: If Calgary Wranglers wins...resolves to Yes. If San Diego Gulls wins...resolves to Yes. (Both map to identical outcome.)
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.