TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AHL: Bridgeport Islanders vs. Hershey Bears
Volume:
$6,634
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This market resolves based on the outcome of an AHL (American Hockey League) regular season game between the Bridgeport Islanders and Hershey Bears scheduled for April 18, 2026. The winner is determined by the final score including overtime and shootout periods, with the market resolving to the winning team's name or 50-50 in the event of cancellation with no makeup game.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both outcomes (Bridgeport Islanders win OR Hershey Bears win) resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket correctly specifies mutually exclusive outcomes.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market. The resolution logic is broken—it resolves Yes regardless of which team wins, creating a guaranteed arbitrage loss. Stick to Polymarket for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Clear binary logic: Bridgeport Islanders win resolves to 'Bridgeport Islanders', Hershey Bears win resolves to 'Hershey Bears'. Includes edge cases for postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split). Overtime and shootout outcomes are explicitly covered.
- Kalshi: Critical flaw: states 'If Bridgeport Islanders wins...then resolves to Yes' AND 'If Hershey Bears wins...then resolves to Yes'. Both mutually exclusive outcomes map to the same resolution (Yes), violating basic market logic and making it impossible to determine a No resolution condition.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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