This event group covers a single professional AHL (American Hockey League) regular season game between the Bridgeport Islanders and Charlotte Checkers scheduled for March 13, 2026 at 7:00 PM EDT. Both platforms are pricing the outcome of this match, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootout results.
Kalshi's resolution logic is logically contradictory and renders the market unresolvable as a binary prediction. Both possible game outcomes (Bridgeport win and Charlotte win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), eliminating any meaningful price discovery or risk differentiation.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's version of this market. The structure guarantees a Yes resolution regardless of the actual game outcome, making it an arbitrage trap if mispriced. Polymarket's binary winner-based structure is the only coherent market for this event.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Both Bridgeport win and Charlotte win resolve to Yes. This is a logical contradiction that makes the market unresolvable as a true binary prediction. The market appears to be designed as a 'game will be played' market but is mislabeled as a winner market.
Polymarket: Clear winner-based resolution: Bridgeport win resolves to Bridgeport Islanders, Charlotte win resolves to Charlotte Checkers. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Overtime and shootouts included in final score.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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