TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AHL: Bakersfield Condors vs. Texas Stars
Volume:
$3,169
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single professional AHL (American Hockey League) game between the Bakersfield Condors and Texas Stars scheduled for March 13, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, including overtime and shootout results.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (either team winning) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market a tautology incapable of discriminating between outcomes. This is a data integrity failure that renders the market unresolvable.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi. The market structure is logically incoherent and will always resolve Yes regardless of the actual game result, providing no predictive value. Use Polymarket exclusively for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Market resolves to Yes if Texas Stars wins AND resolves to Yes if Bakersfield Condors wins. This tautological structure means the market outcome is predetermined and independent of game result. Key Quote: 'If Texas Stars wins...resolves to Yes' and 'If Bakersfield Condors wins...resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Standard binary winner-take-all resolution: market resolves to 'Bakersfield Condors' if they win, 'Texas Stars' if they win. Postponements keep market open; cancellations without makeup resolve 50-50. Key Quote: 'If Bakersfield Condors win, the market will resolve to Bakersfield Condors. If Texas Stars win, the market will resolve to Texas Stars.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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