TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$224,446,576
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,198,377,813
501,416
Markets across
13,642
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,816
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AHL: Bakersfield Condors vs. San Jose Barracuda
Volume:
$46,297
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This market resolves based on the winner of the AHL regular season game between the Bakersfield Condors and San Jose Barracuda scheduled for April 18, 2026 at 10:00 PM EDT. The winner is determined by the final score including overtime and shootout periods, with shootout victories counted as a one-goal margin for settlement purposes.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market logic is fundamentally broken: it resolves YES for both possible outcomes (Bakersfield wins OR San Jose wins), making the market logically impossible to settle correctly. Polymarket has coherent binary resolution (one winner resolves YES, the other NO), while Kalshi's rules create a logical contradiction.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market. The resolution rules guarantee YES resolution regardless of game outcome, which violates basic market logic. Polymarket is the only tradeable venue for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all structure: Bakersfield win resolves to 'Bakersfield Condors', San Jose win resolves to 'San Jose Barracuda'. Exactly one outcome will occur. Includes edge cases for postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split). Quote: 'If Bakersfield Condors win, the market will resolve to Bakersfield Condors. If San Jose Barracuda win, the market will resolve to San Jose Barracuda.'
- Kalshi: Logically incoherent YES/YES structure: 'If Bakersfield Condors wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If San Jose Barracuda wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' Both mutually exclusive outcomes map to YES, making NO resolution impossible and violating binary market semantics. Quote: 'If Bakersfield Condors wins...resolves to Yes. If San Jose Barracuda wins...resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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