TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AHL: Bakersfield Condors vs. San Diego Gulls
Volume:
$7,697
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single professional AHL (American Hockey League) game between the Bakersfield Condors and San Diego Gulls scheduled for April 3, 2026 at 10:00 PM EDT. Markets on both Kalshi and Polymarket are betting on the outcome of this game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootouts.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (either team winning) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the binary contract unresolvable. Polymarket uses coherent winner-based resolution with explicit edge-case rules.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi version of this market. The contract structure is logically broken and cannot function as a binary Yes/No instrument. Use Polymarket exclusively, which resolves to the winning team name and includes clear rules for postponements and cancellations.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Binary Yes/No structure with critical flaw: both outcomes map to Yes. Quote: 'If San Diego Gulls wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Bakersfield Condors wins...resolves to Yes.' This creates an unresolvable tautology.
- Polymarket: Categorical resolution to winning team name. Quote: 'If Bakersfield Condors win, resolves to Bakersfield Condors. If San Diego Gulls win, resolves to San Diego Gulls.' Includes postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split) rules.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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