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AHL: Bakersfield Condors vs. San Diego Gulls
kalshi
polymarket

AHL: Bakersfield Condors vs. San Diego Gulls

Volume:
$7,697

San Diego Gulls

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 18, 2026

Closed: Apr 4, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

San Diego Gulls

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,247
N/A
N/A
$3,029
Settled
Yes
polymarket

AHL: Bakersfield Condors vs. San Diego Gulls

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$435
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Bakersfield Condors

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,015
N/A
N/A
$2,575
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers a single professional AHL (American Hockey League) game between the Bakersfield Condors and San Diego Gulls scheduled for April 3, 2026 at 10:00 PM EDT. Markets on both Kalshi and Polymarket are betting on the outcome of this game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootouts.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (either team winning) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the binary contract unresolvable. Polymarket uses coherent winner-based resolution with explicit edge-case rules.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi version of this market. The contract structure is logically broken and cannot function as a binary Yes/No instrument. Use Polymarket exclusively, which resolves to the winning team name and includes clear rules for postponements and cancellations.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Binary Yes/No structure with critical flaw: both outcomes map to Yes. Quote: 'If San Diego Gulls wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Bakersfield Condors wins...resolves to Yes.' This creates an unresolvable tautology.
  • Polymarket: Categorical resolution to winning team name. Quote: 'If Bakersfield Condors win, resolves to Bakersfield Condors. If San Diego Gulls win, resolves to San Diego Gulls.' Includes postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split) rules.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.