TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AHL: Bakersfield Condors vs. Ontario Reign
Volume:
$4,670
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single AHL (American Hockey League) matchup between the Bakersfield Condors and Ontario Reign scheduled for March 1, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST. Markets on both Polymarket and Kalshi are predicting the winner of this regular-season game, with resolution based on final score including overtime and shootout rules.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Bakersfield win and Ontario win) are stated to resolve to Yes, which is impossible in a binary Yes/No market structure. Polymarket uses a clear three-way resolution (winner or 50-50 on cancellation), while Kalshi's criteria is internally inconsistent and unresolvable as written.Hero Tip:
This is a critical data integrity failure on Kalshi's side. The market cannot function as documented because both outcomes cannot resolve to Yes. Before trading either market, obtain clarification from Kalshi on whether: (1) the second condition should resolve to No, (2) this is actually a game-completion market (not a winner market), or (3) there is a documentation error. Polymarket's logic is sound and resolvable; treat it as the reliable reference until Kalshi clarifies.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Clear winner-based resolution with three outcomes: Bakersfield Condors, Ontario Reign, or 50-50 split if game is canceled with no makeup. Final score includes overtime and shootouts (one goal added to winner's score in shootout). Source: theahl.com schedule.
- Kalshi: Binary Yes/No structure with logical contradiction. Both conditions state identical Yes resolution: 'If Bakersfield Condors wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Ontario Reign wins...resolves to Yes'. No clear No condition or cancellation handling documented.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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