TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AFC Ajax vs. Sparta Rotterdam
Volume:
$97,128
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers three linked prediction markets on the professional Eredivisie soccer match between AFC Ajax and Sparta Rotterdam scheduled for March 14, 2026. The markets track the three mutually exclusive outcomes: Ajax win, Sparta win, or draw, all measured at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation handling differs between platforms. Polymarket explicitly specifies outcome-dependent resolution (Win markets resolve No, Draw resolves Yes if game is canceled with no make-up). Kalshi provides no cancellation clause, creating ambiguity.Hero Tip:
If you hold positions across both platforms, note that Polymarket's Draw market benefits from cancellation (Yes) while Win markets suffer (No). Kalshi's silence on cancellation is a gap—contact support for clarification. Postponement is handled consistently (markets remain open until completion on both platforms).Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate outcome markets with explicit cancellation rules. Ajax Win: resolves No if canceled. Sparta Win: resolves No if canceled. Draw: resolves Yes if canceled. Postponement keeps markets open. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve [No/Yes].'
- Kalshi: Three outcome markets (Sparta wins, Tie, Ajax wins) all resolve to Yes if their respective outcome occurs within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. Assumes game will be completed.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.